Tuesday, 21 February 2017

An Open Minded Bible Study - The Gospel of John

I recently read an email from someone that I care very much about.  It included this quote, "If you read the gospel of John with an open mind and genuine seeking for the truth, you would come to know Jesus and you would have faith in Him."

I thought that I would give this a go.  Before I start, I'll set out some rules, so that I follow the instructions as well I can:
  • I will be as unbiased and open minded as possible.  I will attempt to do this without any preconceptions about what the outcome will be.
  • I will attempt to evaluate the book as if I had never read or heard of it before.
  • I will use my knowledge of critical thinking to point out any problems that I find.
  • I will hold the book to the highest standards, checking that any important claims (especially extraordinary ones) have suitable references or evidence.
  • I will evaluate it on it's own, rather than as part of a collection of books known as the New Testament, ignoring any contradictions or similarities to the other books.
  • I will be genuinely honest with myself, and seek the truth.
So, first lets start with a background check... who is John?  Is he the subject, or the author?  When was it written?  Etc...

According to Wikipedia:
  • The Gospel of John is anonymous. Traditionally, Christians have identified the author as "the Disciple whom Jesus loved" mentioned in John 21:24, who is understood to be John son of Zebedee, one of Jesus' Twelve Apostles. These identifications, however, are rejected by the majority of modern biblical scholars. Nevertheless, the author of the fourth Gospel is sometimes called John the Evangelist, often out of convenience since the true name of the author remains unknown.
  • John is usually dated to AD 90–110.
  • Written in Greek.
According to this website:
  • The oldest manuscript (just a few verses) is dated at 125 AD (we don't have the original).
  • We have a manuscript of some more verses dated from about 150 to 200 AD.
  • Most of the first two thirds of John are in a manuscript dated at about 200 AD.
From this we can already make some guesses about the book:
  • Since the original book was probably originally written 60 to 80 years after the crucifixion of Jesus, it's unlikely that the author was an eye witness to the events he recorded, and could have gotten some information from the other three gospels written beforehand, and perhaps other writings or stories passed on by word of mouth.  Nevertheless, it is slightly possible that he was an eye witness to some events as a boy, and lived a longer life than most.  People didn't live very long in those days.  If he was an eye witness, and wrote the book from memory, it is likely that any quotes would be paraphrased, rather than exactly what the person said, and could easily be inaccurately remembered.  I have also noticed, while reading through the book that it is not written as an eye witness account.  It is written using the third person omniscient perspective, as most stories are: In this point of view the narrator knows everything. The narrator isn't limited by what one character knows, sort of like the narrator is God. The narrator can know things that others don't, can make comments about what's happening, and can see inside the minds of other characters.
  • Since we don't know much about the person who wrote the book, any quotes without references or evidence should be taken with a pinch of salt.
  • Since we don't have the original manuscripts, we don't know how many changes, omissions and additions there have been since the original.  Changes and mistakes were common when hand copying manuscripts, as can be seen by footnotes in bibles detailing discrepancies between manuscripts.
John 1

The book starts off with some poetic writing about someone called "The Word", which created everything along with God.  He doesn't write how he knows this, which I would consider to be a very important omission.  I could guess that this comes from stories that the author had heard, or other writings, but either way, I can't trust what he's writing without any kind of reference.  I think it's possible that he could have got the idea from Genesis 1:26, where God is quoted to have said, "Let us make mankind in our image," indicating that there were multiple creators.  If he were to write something obvious and simple, like that the weather is sunny today, then it would be easier to believe what he's writing, but any extraordinary claims, like that a particular person was the other creator, require references or evidence.

I do find it interesting that he claims that "Through him all things were made," which contradicts some people's beliefs that Satan made the bad things.  According to the author, all things were made through Jesus, which would obviously include snakes, spiders, mosquitoes, cockroaches, viruses, bacteria, mold, poisonous mushrooms, volcanoes, lions, etc.

Verses 12 and 13 are interesting: "Yet to all who did receive him, to those who believed in his name, he gave the right to become children of God children born not of natural descent, nor of human decision or a husband’s will, but born of God."

Again, no references, but  I suppose if I say that for every line without references, I'll get rather repetitive, so I'll just assume that you understand this very clearly: extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence.  Wherever the author writes about anything extraordinary without a reference, claiming some knowledge about God or a miracle or prophecy, it cannot be rationally accepted, and is most likely untrue.

Furthermore, the poetic nature of the writing makes his point unclear:  being "born of God" does not have a definition, and neither does "believed in his name."  For example, does this apply to someone who believes that Jesus is God's son?  Does it apply to someone who believes that Jesus is God's son, but doesn't actually know that his name is "Jesus", e.g. what if one believed that God had a son, and made up a name for him, like "Phil"?  What if one believed that Jesus existed, and was part of the creation, but didn't believe that Jesus was related to God?

The author writes about John baptizing, and baptizing Jesus, which historians consider to have actually happened.  John's baptism was, according to the author to "Make straight the way for the Lord," but the author does not write how the baptism does that.  The purpose of the baptism, and why people came to John to be baptized seems unclear.

In verse 49, someone named Nathaniel says, "Rabbi, you are the Son of God; you are the king of Israel," but the reason that he says this is because Jesus told Nathaniel that Jesus saw him under a fig tree, which doesn't make any sense.

Chapter 2

Chapter 2 starts off with a story about Jesus turning water into wine (Extraordinary claim without references).  I find it interesting that Jesus' mother simply assumed that Jesus could create wine.  Jesus seemed to not want to perform the alchemy as his hour had not yet come, but does it anyway.  His mother assumed that he would need other people to help, which implied that she knew how it was done.  I assume therefore that the author is implying that he'd done this before.

The next part of chapter 2 is about Jesus driving the traders out of the temple with a whip.  Verses 18 and 19 are interesting:

"The Jews then responded to him, 'What sign can you show us to prove your authority to do all this?'

Jesus answered them, 'Destroy this temple, and I will raise it again in three days.'"

These verses are a prophecy, which if fulfilled would be evidence that Jesus was special.  However, I find verse 21 annoying: "But the temple he had spoken of was his body."  This is an example of a logical fallacy called "Moving the goalposts" or "Special pleading."  Any prediction (or prophecy) has to be very clear in order for it to have any value.  If one can just re-interpret a prediction when it doesn't come true, then the prediction was entirely meaningless.  One could even go as far as to say that if the goalposts are moved / re-interpreted, then the prophecy was false, and therefore a lie or mistake.

There are plenty of examples of this logical fallacy in religions, for example, Mark's gospel predicted the end of the world / Armageddon / the second coming was supposed to happen within the lifetime of those standing by, but since it didn't happen, the prophecy is re-interpreted due to cognitive dissonance.  Jehovah's Witnesses have predicted the date of the end of the world / Armageddon / the second coming many times, and when the event doesn't occur within the time frame, they simply change the date, or try to explain away the prediction as a misinterpretation, instead of admitting that they are simply wrong.

Chapter 3

In chapter 3 Jesus is reported to have told Nicodemus that no one can enter the kingdom of God unless they are born of water and the Spirit.  He does this without explaining what he means, and seems to get frustrated that Nicodemus doesn't understand him.  I don't understand why Jesus couldn't have simply been straightforward, and explained it in a way that did make sense.  Jesus goes on to say, "everyone who believes may have eternal life in him."  Again, it's unclear... Jesus doesn't explain precisely what needs to be believed.  It seems he tries to give an explanation of the reason that the belief would allow anyone to have eternal life, but it doesn't make sense: "For God so loved the world that he gave his one and only Son, that whoever believes in him shall not perish but have eternal life. For God did not send his Son into the world to condemn the world, but to save the world through him. Whoever believes in him is not condemned, but whoever does not believe stands condemned already because they have not believed in the name of God’s one and only Son."

There is no explanation as to what good condemning a person does, nor why a person who believes something is not condemned.  I'll add that a rational belief is based on evidence, which is especially required when an extraordinary claim is made.  Since there is no evidence for these claims, it follows that belief in them is not rational, and therefore the book suggests that only people who have irrational beliefs may have eternal life.

The same concept is repeated in vs 36: "Whoever believes in the Son has eternal life, but whoever rejects the Son will not see life, for God’s wrath remains on them."

Chapter 4

In chapter 4 Jesus speaks to a Samaritan woman.  He supposedly tells her that she has had five husbands and that the man she was with was not her husband.  From this she deduces that Jesus is a prophet, and blows it way out of proportion in vs 29.  This deduction is very poor reasoning.  The same faulty reasoning is used by people who believe people who claim to talk to spirits, or be healers or have some other kind of magical mind reading skills.  If someone told me some things about myself, the rational thing to do is simply believe that they've heard it from someone, or something else,... not that they're a prophet!

Back in vs 24, Jesus says, "God is spirit, and his worshipers must worship in the Spirit and in truth."  Samaritans would have been used to worshiping God.  I do, however question what the purpose of worship is.  I would guess that people used to believe that deities were responsible for anything that they couldn't understand, so when there were natural problems, like drought or sickness, they would assume that the deity was angry and do anything they could, including appealing to its ego.  To me, however, the idea of someone expecting worship is immature, egotistical, and certainly not loving.

Verse 48 says, “Unless you people see signs and wonders,” Jesus told him, “you will never believe.”  I would say that's entirely rational.  One should not merely believe an extraordinary claim without sufficient evidence.

At the end of the chapter, Jesus is said to have told a royal official that his sick son would live.  In verses 52 and 53 it says,

"When he inquired as to the time when his son got better, they said to him, 'Yesterday, at one in the afternoon, the fever left him.'

Then the father realized that this was the exact time at which Jesus had said to him, 'Your son will live.'"

This is an example of anecdotal evidence.  Anecdotal evidence is when someone has an experience that could be co-incidence, but is taken as evidence instead.  This type of logical fallacy causes many people to believe in things like alternative medicines, vitamins and prayer as cures, simply because they have experienced being cured of something at the same time that they took the supposed cure.  Of course it could have just been the body's immune system, or another medicine that cured them.  The belief is compounded because co-incidences are remembered, and events that don't coincide are forgotten.  To explain this another way, for every co-incidence that happens, there are thousands of co-incidences that don't happen, but we only remember the co-incidence.  If someone phones you and you happened to be thinking about that person shortly before the call, you'd probably remember the event as a surprising co-incidence, but you won't remember the thousands of times that you thought of a person and they didn't call.  Our minds are very good at pattern recognition, and will constantly look out for interesting co-incidences and "evidence" for our beliefs.

Chapter 5

Chapter 5 starts off with something quite bizarre.  It's about some kind of magical pool.  According to the footnotes, some manuscripts explain as follows: "From time to time an angel of the Lord would come down and stir up the waters. The first one into the pool after each such disturbance would be cured of whatever disease they had."

To me this is the most far fetched idea so far, because this magic has nothing to do with Jesus.  We know that magic like this doesn't exist today, because if it did, we would be able to see it and test it.  So there are two options... either Jesus lived in a magical time, when it was normal for angels to stir water and make it magical, or the story is simply based on a myth.  When given two options like that I see no reason to believe the extraordinary option.

Verse 16 is also quite bizarre: "So, because Jesus was doing these things (miracles) on the Sabbath, the Jewish leaders began to persecute him."  This is really hard to fathom;  Jesus is supposedly commanding lame people to walk, and instead of being completely gobsmacked at the incredible thing they've just witnessed, they tell Jesus not to perform miracles on a Saturday!

Verse 29 contradicts what Jesus said earlier about those who believe not being condemned: "Those who have done what is good will rise to live, and those who have done what is evil will rise to be condemned."  The promise of eternal life for believers is repeated many times in the book.

Chapter 6

In chapter 6, Jesus gives a confusing talk: "For my flesh is real food and my blood is real drink.  Whoever eats my flesh and drinks my blood remains in me, and I in them."

Many disciples say "This is a hard teaching. Who can accept it?" and they stop following Jesus.

Jesus says, "This is why I told you that no one can come to me unless the Father has enabled them."  What I understand from this is that Jesus told people that God decides whether or not someone may become a Christian.  So the belief in Jesus is not something you choose... you simply either believe, because God allows you to, or you don't believe because God doesn't allow you to.  Rational belief is based on evidence and logic, any other reason for belief, like it only being available to chosen people sounds like nonsense to me.  It also brings up the question of what God's criteria would be for choosing his followers.  What I like about this statement is it is actually testable.  We could, theoretically, look at the kind of people who follow Jesus, and get an idea of God's criteria.  A look at the kind of people who follow Jesus, however, reveals that people are more likely to be followers of Jesus if they are brought up in a Christian community, and if they have Christian parents.  Chinese and middle eastern people, for example, are unlikely to be Christians.  Does this mean that God doesn't like Chinese people?  Of course not... people simply believe because they've been brought up with those beliefs and have either not challenged their beliefs, or have challenged the beliefs and not found them to be false.  Another example of a group of people which seem to be to be very unlikely to be Christians are experts in critical and rational thinking, as well as AI researchers.  This is surely because, in their intellectual pursuit of truth, they have challenged the beliefs of Christians, and have not found enough evidence, rather than simply not being "enabled" by God.

Chapter 7

John 7 verse 5 says, "For even his own brothers did not believe in him."  I think this is an interesting statement.

Chapter 8

Up to this point it seems that most of the book is about Jesus struggling to convince people to believe that God sent him.  At the end of chapter 8, he claims to be God: “Very truly I tell you,” Jesus answered, “before Abraham was born, I am!”

Chapter 9

Jesus heals a man born blind by spitting on the ground and making mud, then placing it on the man's eyes and telling him to wash it off in the Pool of Siloam.

Since there is no evidence nor references for these extraordinary miraculous claims, they are unlikely to be true.  Therefore it makes me curious about where the ideas originated from.  I can see that there is a recurring pattern in that something is usually used to do the miracle: water, loaves and fish, a pool and spit.  I would guess that the use of spit and pools for healing might have come from ancient ideas that spit or water could be used for healing.  So I looked it up to see what ancient Greeks believed (the book was written in Greek), and I found this: "Greek mythology specified that certain natural springs or tidal pools were blessed by the gods to cure disease. Around these sacred pools, Greeks established bathing facilities for those desiring healing." - Wikipedia.

Chapter 10

Jesus tells people that they have to go through him to be saved.  In verse 30, he claims that he is his own father (God): "I and the Father are one."

Chapter 11

In this chapter a man named Lazarus dies and Jesus suggests they go to him.  Verse 16 is very strange: "Then Thomas (also known as Didymus) said to the rest of the disciples, 'Let us also go, that we may die with him.'"

Jesus again tells people that if they believe in him they will have eternal life.  He resurrects  Lazarus.

Chapter 12

This chapter contains a few examples of the third person omniscient perspective that the book was written in: "So the chief priests made plans to kill Lazarus as well," and "At first his disciples did not understand all this. Only after Jesus was glorified did they realize that these things had been written about him and that these things had been done to him."

Chapter 13

Jesus washes his disciples feet.  This is a nice gesture to his disciples and a practical way to teach them how they should behave towards each other.

Jesus prophecies that Judas will betray him.  I find this sentence a bit strange: "As soon as Judas took the bread, Satan entered into him."  I wonder if the author is saying that Judas was just an ordinary, decent man, but Jesus caused Satan to possess Judas and make him betray Jesus.

Chapter 14

Jesus says to his disciples, "You heard me say, ‘I am going away and I am coming back to you.’ If you loved me, you would be glad that I am going to the Father, for the Father is greater than I.  I have told you now before it happens, so that when it does happen you will believe."

I take this to mean that Jesus is predicting his death and resurrection, and when he rises and comes back to them they will believe.

Chapter 15

Jesus prophesied to his disciples, "If you remain in me and my words remain in you, ask whatever you wish, and it will be done for you."

This is an extraordinary statement, and therefore unlikely to be true, but it does make me wonder if Jesus actually said it to his disciples, and if any of them tried it out.  If God were to tell me, "Ask whatever you wish, and it will be done for you," I would probably say something like, "Get rid of sickness, aging, cold, hunger, thirst, stress and death, and give everyone amazing games to play, so that we can all have fun and be happy."  Of course cognitive dissonance would make it difficult for a strong believer to stop believing simply because a prophecy didn't come true.  They would probably have made excuses like, "That wasn't 'done for me' because I have forgotten some of Jesus' words."

Chapter 16

Jesus prophecies "The time is coming when anyone who kills you will think they are offering a service to God."  Interestingly many of the apostles (if not all) were supposedly murdered.  However, since the book was written after the murders would have already occurred, this doesn't provide us with any evidence that Jesus (nor the writer) knew the future.

Jesus prophecies about his death and resurrection, and again tells them that they can have whatever they want: "Very truly I tell you, my Father will give you whatever you ask in my name. Until now you have not asked for anything in my name. Ask and you will receive, and your joy will be complete."

Vs 29 is interesting: "Then Jesus’ disciples said, 'Now you are speaking clearly and without figures of speech. Now we can see that you know all things and that you do not even need to have anyone ask you questions. This makes us believe that you came from God.'"

Firstly it shows us that quoted text does not mean that a person said exactly those words.  It would be ridiculous to think that all the disciples said exactly the same sentences.

Secondly the disciples didn't believe that Jesus came from God because of the miracles.  They believed because Jesus apparently knew all things without asking questions.  In the preceding verses, however, Jesus doesn't say anything that would provide any evidence that he knew all things.  He merely prophecies about things which haven't happened.

Chapter 17

Verse 1 says, "After Jesus said this, he looked toward heaven and prayed."

I have to ask... which direction is heaven?  I think the use of the word heaven could either refer to the sky or the place in which God lives.  However, based on the context, that Jesus is praying to his Father, God, I think it refers to the place in which God lives.  I would guess that people back in those days believed something like the Earth was flat, and the center of the universe, and heaven was up, and hell was below.  Of course, if there was a heaven, it would neither be up nor down, because that direction changes as the earth spins.  It seems that the idea of hell being below the Earth comes from observations of volcanoes... fire coming from below Earth... hence the phrase fire and brimstone (brimstone means sulphur, and volcanoes emit sulphur dioxide and smell like sulphur).

Interestingly, it seems that God (the Father) doesn't even agree to Jesus' request, as Jesus asks "Then the world will know that you sent me and have loved them even as you have loved me."

Chapter 18

Jesus is arrested and Peter cuts of the priest's ear (Strangely in this version there is no mention of Jesus healing the high priest).  Peter later denies Jesus.

Chapter 19

Jesus is crucified.

This chapter contains an interesting verse: "The man who saw it has given testimony, and his testimony is true. He knows that he tells the truth, and he testifies so that you also may believe."  I say "it's interesting" because the writer assumes that it's true, but provides no reason why he says that the man's testimony is true.  It's a bit strange.  Why write that the testimony is true, if you have no more reason to believe it than the reader?

Jesus is buried in a tomb.

Chapter 20

Mary Magdalene and two disciples discover the empty tomb.

I'm a bit confused about one verse: "Finally the other disciple, who had reached the tomb first, also went inside. He saw and believed. (They still did not understand from Scripture that Jesus had to rise from the dead.)"

I'm so used to seeing the word believed in this book in the context of believing in Jesus, that I wonder if here it means that the disciple believed that someone had taken Jesus' body.  I don't think it means that he believed that Jesus had risen, because that would be the last thing someone would believe if they saw an empty tomb, before they had seen any evidence of something extraordinary.  It carries on to tell how Mary Magdalene was crying because she believed that Jesus' body had been taken away.

It turns out the guy she's crying to is Jesus.

Jesus appears to his disciples, gives them the Holy Spirit, and says, "If you forgive anyone’s sins, their sins are forgiven; if you do not forgive them, they are not forgiven."  So far in this book Jesus has never mentioned hell, nor what happens to someone if their sins are not forgiven.  Nevertheless, if I were to receive the ability to forgive sins on God's behalf, and believed that God would give eternal life to anyone I forgave, I'd forgive everyone.

Thomas doesn't believe that Jesus has risen, until provided with evidence, by seeing the holes in his hands and side.

Chapter 21

Jesus appears to the disciples again, and miraculously fills their fishing net with fish.  There's a strange verse here:  "None of the disciples dared ask him, 'Who are you?' They knew it was the Lord."  Maybe it's a translation problem, because if it really was Jesus, they would obviously recognize him, and there would be no need to write the sentence.

Jesus prophecies about Peter's death.  Jesus then speaks about the disciple that he loves and says, "If I want him to remain alive until I return, what is that to you?"  I think this is the only time in the book that Jesus refers to his so called second  coming.

The writer clarifies, "Because of this, the rumor spread among the believers that this disciple would not die. But Jesus did not say that he would not die."  If I were to guess, I'd say it's likely that the writer wrote it because the disciple had died and Jesus had not yet returned.

He then writes, "This is the disciple who testifies to these things and who wrote them down. We know that his testimony is true."  He's writing about this disciple as being another person.  Again, he mentions that his testimony is true, but doesn't explain.  Since the disciple apparently wrote about Jesus, it seems possible that the writer of this book copied those writings.

Additional Thoughts

The book of John paints a very different picture to traditional Christian beliefs:
- There is no mention of hell... which is an extremely important topic in Christianity.
- There is no mention of paradise... merely eternal life, without defining what it is.
- Jesus teaches about love, and good values, but only about 4 times; The main emphasis of the book is Jesus repeatedly performing miracles and trying to get people to believe in him.
- There is no mention of Armageddon or the end of the world, but only a brief mention of the second coming, including a possible excuse that the disciple who was expected to be alive for the second coming may not have survived (perhaps he avoids it because Armageddon / the end of the world never happened within the predicted time frame of Jesus' generation).
- Baptism is not required for salvation... only belief.




Saturday, 16 July 2016

6 Ideas to Reduce Extremism

It seems like all of these senseless, extremist murders are carrying on without much being done about them.  I find it very  frustrating.  The following is a list of things I think should happen to reduce extremism:

1.  Every child should learn critical thinking at school.  This will teach them to challenge what they're being taught, and understand how their minds can deceive them, e.g. basing their beliefs on emotions, rather than logic and evidence.

2.  We need a new kind of social network; the opposite of a dating site, where instead of being matched with people like you, you're matched with people who are completely different to you.  In Facebook and Meetup we join groups with like minded people, and we keep contact with those people.  We need to diversify, and make friends with people of different races, languages, sexual preferences, etc.

3.  We need to invent better technology to overcome language barriers, e.g. gadgets like Pilot.  Facebook does an okay job of translating foreign languages, so people can type in their own language and others can read it in theirs.

4.  We shouldn't have schools based on specific religions.  Now, I know you're thinking "But my religion is the one true religion and we should get rid of schools that follow other religions, but not mine."  My counter argument is that is exactly why there shouldn't be specific religious schools;  No-one is going to learn about your religion if you're isolating it from the rest of the world.  It would be better for all schools to teach about all the major religions, covering evidence for and against them, and then the children can use the critical thinking skills which they learned at school to decide, based on the evidence, which is the right religion and obviously they'll choose yours.

5.  The use of intellect, rather than bombs.  The group, Anonymous, showed us an example, where they disabled extremist websites.

6.  We need a democratic way of making changes in other parts of the world, not just in our own country, e.g. Democratic Intelligence.

Monday, 11 July 2016

How did all these civilizations survive the great flood?

Flood 2304 BC

How did these civilizations survive it?

Neolithic 8500-1500 BC
Egyption Dynasty 4 2613 to 2494 BC, Dynasty 5: 2494 to 2345 BC, Dynasty 6: 2345 - 2181 BC
Mesopotamia 5000 BC to 333 BC
Sumerians 5400 BC to 1120 BC
Norte Chico civilization 3000 BC to 1800 BC

Sunday, 23 August 2015

The infinite improbability of me

If I were to guess, I'd say that most non-religious folk believe that one is born once, one dies, and then one ceases to be conscious ever again, in any form.

Mathematically, however, there are problems with this theory.

Before I assign numbers to variables, and create formulas, I have to first define an expression I'm going to use.  The expression is unique experiencer, or unique point of experience, or if you prefer, perhaps, unique perspective of experience explains it better.  Whatever it is, it's me, or it's you.   It's that thing that people who believe in re-incarnation believe will be re-incarnated, and that thing that people who believe in heaven and hell, believe will go there.  It's also that single thing that is exactly the same in your future self, your present self, and your past self, regardless of whether you lose your memory, or have every atom in your body replaced, one at a time.  It's that thing that, in your or my case, there appears to be only one of in the entire universe.  Following me so far?

Let me convert this theory into numbers and show you the problem:

Number of potential unique experiencers = ∞ (infinite)
Number of me (single unique experiencer) = 1


Ask yourself this question, "What is the probability, therefore, of me being born?"

The answer is 1/∞ (number of me / potential unique experiencers).  I call this infinitely improbable.

In other words, before I was born, the chance I would be born, given a finite period of time was infinitely improbable.

Lets carry on the maths...

One could say that, given an infinite period of time, one could therefore be born, but it doesn't work like that, because only 13.8 billion years have passed.  I say only, because 13.8 billion / ∞ = almost nothing.  In fact it doesn't matter how many years have passed, because anything / ∞ = almost nothing.

So, the fact that the infinitely improbable event of my birth has occurred, means that it is infinitely unlikely that my premise is right.

The ∞ is wrong (there must be a finite number of potential unique experiencers).

So, how many potential unique experiencers are there then?  The only logical number that I can think of is 1.  If there were more, then there would have to be some kind of pool of unique experiencers that gets re-used.  For example, if there were an arbitrary 1 million, then after the millionth life form is born, the first gets re-used.  But what happens if there are 1,000,001 alive simultaneously?  Is the newest unique experiencer two life forms?

The simplest answer is that we are all simply, a single, unique, experiencer.  We are all me.  In the same way that I am my future self and my past self, I am you, and I am the slugs in my garden.

The model for my theory is that we don't simply exist as a single point in time (one dimension).  We exist in at least two dimensions:  time is one dimension and consciousness generators is another.  By consciousness generators I mean things like brain cells or neurons.  I'm not a neurologist, so I don't know exactly what the second dimension is, but it makes sense to me that the smarter a life form is, the more likely we are to be that life form at a given point in two dimensions, where one dimension is time.

Well, that's my theory anyway.  If you're an open minded critical thinker and have any thoughts on this, please feel free to share them.  I'm more interested in being less wrong, than being consistent with what I've written.

To learn more about this theory, check out my other blog post:

http://soberauer.blogspot.co.uk/2013/04/questioning-life-after-death-using.html

Image credits:

1. grave yard - http://www.freeimages.com/photographer/ivancicas-47350
2. baby face - http://www.freeimages.com/photographer/mounis23-59792
3. people - http://www.freeimages.com/photographer/cobrasoft-62365

Monday, 1 April 2013

Theorising About Life After Death Using Mathematics

A simple, mathematical problem


Given that you are reading this right now, it's obvious that you are alive.  This means that the chance that you were born is 100%.  Of course that's just you, a single point estimate, which is not very good statistics, and doesn't prove that the chance is always 100%.  It does, however, prove that the chance that someone is born is > 0 (greater than zero).  That is the same as saying, "It is possible to be born."

The problem that I have is when people tell me that one only has one life, and one is never born a second time.  The obvious problem here is the equation that they offer:

Chance of being born a first time > 0 AND chance of being born after having been born = 0.

Surely it makes more sense that:

Chance of being born is always > 0.

The thing that really gets to me is that some people have absolute blind faith in their belief that one has only one life, without even being able to define who they are, or what consciousness is.  As for me, I prefer to present my questions and hypothesis, and hope for an intelligent, open minded discussion.  The mathematics presented is not as simple as it may seem.  The words being used, like "chance of being born," need to be very well defined.  

I watched a video recently where Eliezer Yudkowsky and Massimo Pigliucci discuss the possibility of a time when one's consciousness could be uploaded to machines.

If you don't know who these guys are, Eliezer is well known as the co-founder of the Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence, and Massimo is a well known author of books related to science, biology and critical thinking.

One might think that two such highly respected thinkers would agree on the topic of consciousness, but interestingly, their points of view in this video are very different.  Massimo believes that consciousness requires the body, whereas Eliezer seems to believe that it is some kind of pattern, which can be transferred.  The importance of their differences of opinion are actually incredibly important, because if someone ever tries to do what Eliezer believes (transfer consciousness), and Eliezer is wrong, they might not only die, but could appear to be conscious without being conscious and no-one will know that they are dead.

If you'd like to understand their points of view, go ahead and watch the video (they start talking about consciousness from about 25 minutes in), however, it is not really what this blog post is about.  Eliezer and Massimo each have their own point of view, but neither seems to have enough evidence to back their point of view (at one point in the video they debate about who the burden of proof falls on).  I have my own point of view, which I consider it to be just a theory.  That is how science works... one comes up with a theory, which seems accurate, and then attempts to disprove it.  If one can't, one gets other people to try and disprove it.  So, here is my theory, which I have been unable to disprove, and I would like you to try and find its faults.


If I told you my theory straight away, you'd probably either not understand or disagree straight away, so first I have to give a few scenarios in order to get us on the same page:

Scenario 1

Imagine the universe existed, but there wasn't a single life form.  No humans, no dogs, no plants, no virus, no cats.  It simply contained planets, rocks, stars, and more planets, rocks and stars.

The value of anything is subjective.  That means that something only has a value if someone cares about it.  It also means that if nothing lived in the universe, the universe wouldn't have any value.  It wouldn't matter at all.  It's like the question:  If a tree fell in the forest, and no-one was there to hear it, did it make a sound?

The answer is, that it doesn't matter, and neither would the universe.

Life is something that has the ability to experience.  If the smallest, and simplest, single object, with the ability to experience, existed in the universe, then the universe would start to have value, or meaning.  It's as if the universe would suddenly exist.


I call this thing or simplest possible life form a unique point of experience.  Religious people might refer to it as the soul, and philosophers might call it consciousness, but in order to keep this as scientific as I can, I'll stick to "unique point of experience."


The simplest, unique point of experience could be as simple as a switch.  On is happy, off is unhappy, where its environment determines whether it is happy or unhappy.

As humans, our unique point of experience is a little bit more complex, because we can experience more than just on or off.  We have a range of happiness, and so we can be represented as more of a dial than a switch.

Scenario 2

Imagine if science had advanced to a level where we had a machine that could copy anything.  It could recreate whatever you put in it, by building it out of protons, neutrons and electrons, the building blocks of atoms.

Now imagine that the scientist copied you, atom for atom.

If my theory that you are a unique point of experience is true, then you couldn't be both of them.  But, which one would you be?  Would you be the copy, or the original? 

I could ask this another way... if you were an evil person, who liked killing people, but enjoyed life, which one would you kill, and which would you keep alive?

I guess the conclusion that most people would come to is that you are the original, and not the copy, even though the two are physically exactly the same.

Using my terminology, one might believe that the original has the same unique point of experience that you had before the copy was made, and the copy, if it has a unique point of experience, has a different one.

With me so far?  I hope so :)

The interesting thing here is that Eliezer's point of view is, if he were to use the same terminology as me, that, since a unique point of experience only exists at a single point in time, one is not the same person that one was a second ago, and it doesn't matter which person is killed.  Massimo finds that quite hard to agree with, assuming that one's body retains a unique point of experience.  I'll discuss that a bit more later, but for now, let's move on...

I think of the unique point of experience as being who you actually are, and that your body is the interface between yourself and the universe.

If you've followed me so far, I can continue with the mathematics.

Think about the probability of having lived.

Another way of saying that, is, "What is the probability, at the start of the universe, that your unique point of experience would experience something during the time that the universe existed?"

It's a difficult question, but it has two possible answers.  One is very high, and the other is very low.  I'll explain later why it doesn't actually matter what the answer is, but for now, let's think about how this could be worked out.

Some people would consider that you are your brain.  I disagree, since I understand your unique point of experience to be much simpler than that.  So, assuming that your unique point of experience was two particular protons working together, then the chance of you living now would be about one in the number of protons in the universe.  I don't know the exact number of protons in the universe, but I'd guess that your mind could not comprehend that number, so I'm going to simply use the closest known number, one in a googol.

If you've never heard of a googol before, it's the word which Google was named after, and it means ten to the power of one hundred.  It looks like this:  10,­000,­000,­000,­000,­000,­000,­000,­000,­000,­000,­000,­000,­000,­000,­000,­000,­000,­000,­000,­000,­000,­000,­000,­000,­000,­000,­000,­000,­000,­000,­000,­000,­000.

If, however, your unique point of experience consisted of three specific protons, then your chance of living would be one in a googol squared.  I won't even bother with the chance of you living if your unique point of experience consists of your entire brain.

The simple point is this:  


The chance of you living right now is so ridiculously small that, since you are actually living right now, it is not true that that you are living by chance.  Your life is inevitable, and the fact that you are alive right now, is normal.

I'll phrase that another way, you are normally alive.  You are normally conscious.

Put even another way, and get ready to start throwing tomatoes:  You will probably live again and again, and again.

But what do we become in our next life?


Some religions teach that in their next lives people become nicer creatures based on how good they were.  Of course this idea is neither based on science, nor mathematics, nor any kind of logic, so moving on...

Chances are, you're actually going to be smart, whether you were good or bad.

The problem with my answer is that it might be a bit tricky to understand, nevertheless, I'll attempt to explain it anyway.

My answer is based, once again, on a single point estimate: myself.  And, yes, it's really bad statistics, seeing as it would be much better to base this on thousands of examples, but unfortunately when trying to understand a unique point of experience I can only base the stats on myself.

Think about it this way... of all the creatures on earth with a unique point of experience, what is the probability that you could have been human?

The problem with this question is that I don't know which creatures have unique points of experience, so I'll give two possible answers:

1. There are 3 X 10 to the power of 33 living things according to Uncle John’s Bathroom Reader, Supremely Satisfying, pages 348 and 349 (I don't know how they counted them).

2. Trying to find an estimate of the number of smarter animals on the planet is even more difficult, but it looks like there are millions of species and trillions of animals.

There are about 7 billion people.

So, given that you are a unique point of experience, the probability that you are human now is probably somewhere between 7 X 10 to the power of 9 divided by 10 to the power of 12 and 7 X 10 to the power of 9 divided by 3 X 10 to the power of 33, which gives us:

0.007 to 0.0000000000000000000000023

This means that it's highly unlikely that you are human by chance, but what's so special about humans?  My guess is that it's because we are smarter than other animals.  And therefore it means that it's likely that, in your next life, you will be a smart creature.

From my own point of view, I am a particularly smart human.  I don't mean to brag, but I did particularly well in mathematics competitions and statistics back in 1995 and 1996, including 15th place in a competition between about 400 schools.  Based on this (and noting that I know this is a point estimate that probably makes no sense when read, but only when written), chances are that: not only is it likely that we're going to be as smart as humans, but it's also more likely that we're going to be in the smartest percentage of the smartest species.

If you've been following so far, you may have realized a problem...

The problem with the theory that one is more likely to be intelligent


Assuming that each living thing has one unique point of experience gives a mathematical problem that unique points of experiences cannot be divided up equally among them; an ant cannot have the equivalent unique point of experience that a human has.

A possible theory for solving this is that creatures can have multiple unique points of experience.

This is something I have difficulty comprehending, and I'm guessing that you might too.  The theory is that the smarter a creature is, the more unique points of experience it has.  Perhaps for every brain cell there is a unique point of experience?  


Another way of thinking about it is by relating it to time.  Imagine, for argument's sake that one could have a certain number of experiences per second.  For example, a smart being, like a human might have a hundred experiences per second, while an ant only has ten.  That way, if there were a billion ants and a billion people alive at the same time, it would be ten times more likely that you would be a human than an ant.

I'm just guessing as to how exactly it works, but it does have some interesting implications, for example eating an animal may not be as bad as eating a human for the simple fact that you are sacrificing a few points of experience to feed many.  If one continues to think along these lines, one may come to similar conclusions to Hitler, but read on, and you'll find a theory which will make you want to live in a world where all points of experiences are happy.

If you think that having multiple unique points of experiences causes a problem for free will, you may want to read my blog post on free will.

Other implications


My theory so far (if it is true) also sheds some light on aliens.  One theory I've heard on why we never come across aliens (I know some people disagree with me, but that's a subject for another blog post) is because they have become so advanced that their greed, combined with their advanced technology caused them to destroy themselves - which is where some people believe we are heading too.

My theory, however, suggests that humans might be the most intelligent species in the universe, or if not, then right up there with the smartest of the smart.  

Therefore it is unlikely that any aliens have developed any better technology than we have.

Another implication, and this is really important, is that, if people knew that when they died, it is likely they would become another randomly selected human, perhaps they might have a bit more compassion for the billion hungry people around the planet.  Perhaps we may wake up one day and find ourselves in poverty, unless we do something about it while we can.

There's more...

I do need to point out that there's more to ponder on this topic, like the mathematical probability of life forms existing.  Apparently life forms have been around on Earth for 3.5 billion years, so life forms have only existed for about 25% of the time the universe has existed.  What's perhaps more relevant is that, in theory, they've been around for 77% of the time that Earth has been around, which is pretty high.

Humans, however, have only been around for 200,000 years, which may sound like a long time, but it's really just 0.0015% of the age of the universe or 0.0044% of Earth.  Even more interesting is the probability that we are now in this century, which is by far the most interesting century in the history of our planet: 0.00002%.


...and now for the crazy bit...

This part is going to sound even more ridiculous than the previous ideas, but I've got to say it, just because this rounds everything off nicely into a neat little package, and I cannot think of any other possibilities.  


When one goes to sleep, one could say that one's consciousness has died.  When one wakes up, one could say that one's consciousness has come back to life. 

Imagine that, every time you went to sleep, you woke up as someone else.  Would you know?  In other words, if your point of experience jumped from one person to another, how would you know that it had?  

Let's say that you were John one day, and the next day you woke up as Mary.  When you became Mary, you had Mary's thoughts, Mary's memory and Mary's body.  You had no recollection that you were John.  There's no way you would know that you've swapped bodies.  

When you think about an event, you're either remembering something, or anticipating a past event.  Nothing that you experience is now.  Now could be such an infinitely small period of time that you cannot think of now, because as soon as you've started on 'n', now is already in the past.

Remember the idea I said earlier, about becoming someone or something else when you die?  I don't really think it happens like that.  It doesn't really make sense that one would only swap bodies when one dies.  The reason being that, if the population keeps growing then it would require more and more points of experience to come into existence, and that is something I cannot fathom.

The only working model I can think of is as follows (noting that this is simply a theory):


  • There is only one point of experience (you)
  • Your point of experience doesn't only travel forwards in time, but also sideways (or two dimensionally).  This means moving between all living beings.
  • At any point in this two dimensional graph of time vs intelligence, you are a being with a memory which makes you believe you are that being.
  • Since you are actually everybody, perceiving only one being at a time, you should probably be nice to every living thing, since they are you.


Please post a comment to let me know what you think about this, and feel free to disagree if you have a well thought out or researched argument.



...and one last thought...

In this video, Robert J. Sawyer, a science fiction author, talks about the idea that losing consciousness is like dying, and waking up is like being born, in which case we might be experiencing "life after death" every day.  

Here's another way of understanding this:

http://soberauer.blogspot.co.uk/2015/08/the-infinite-improbability-of-me.html

Images 
1. Courtesy of vierdrie at stock.xchng
2. Courtesy of shed at stock.xchng
3. Courtesy of milan6 at stock.xchng
4. Courtesy of yenhoon at stock.xchng
5. Courtesy of artM at stock.xchng
6. Courtesy of spekulator at stock.xchng
7. Courtesy of cahdequech at stock.xchng

Thursday, 3 May 2012

How to get into Pirate Bay if you're blocked in the UK

 I wonder why they bothered to block Pirate Bay in the UK, if the following things are still rumoured to work:

  • This FireFox add-on:

  • Downloading and running the Tor Browser (doesn't need to install) from torproject.org

  • Or the easiest is to just go to http://proxybay.info/ which lists mirrors of Pirate Bay that are still known to work.
Here are some other interesting links:

The Pirate Bay on Facebook
The Pirate Bay on Twitter
Kick Ass Torrents (Another torrent site)


Now, I'm not saying that piracy should be allowed, I mean, there's no difference between making a copy of some digital ones and zeros and killing babies.  So, piracy is very, very bad.  It also prevents Hollywood, an essential industry on which our lives depend, from buying sports cars.

So, please don't pirate, because if everyone pirated, then the governments wouldn't be able to do anything about it, and that would be bad.

Piracy is also bad for the porn industry, and causes a spread of knowledge.  Too much knowledge is bad.

There are less important things to worry about, like feeding starving kids in Africa.  Governments should forget about that and focus on fighting piracy.
 
If we didn't live in the perfect system that we live in today, I'd say that we'd need a new system that works for everyone, but since capitalism is perfect, we need to defend it.

By the way, you can download my novel, "The Mischievous Nerd's Guide to World Domination," for free here:  http://losthobbit.net/download.php

... or you can buy it from Amazon http://www.amazon.co.uk/Mischievous-Nerds-Guide-World-Domination/dp/1453841326

Here's an interesting article on Piracy: 
http://www.forbes.com/sites/insertcoin/2012/02/03/you-will-never-kill-piracy-and-piracy-will-never-kill-you/

Sunday, 8 April 2012

What I'm too scared to tell anyone.

I was brought up in the Church of Christ. Every sunday I went to church, and became a very devout Christian. I would teach sunday school, lead the singing, and run the youth group. Out of love, I tried to teach people about Jesus, in the hope that they would become Christians and go to heaven.

From about the age of twenty, I started to realize that things weren't quite right. No matter what anyone said, I couldn't understand how a loving, almighty God could put people in Hell. I kept praying about this, begging God to give me some sort of explanation, but he simply wouldn't. I couldn't understand why such a powerful God, who considered himself to be my father, wouldn't want to take an hour out of his day to explain such an important concept to his servant.

The only thing I could do was think up excuses. I could not consider the possibility that the bible could be wrong, so I told myself that maybe God's just telling us that to try to make us do good, and when judgement day comes, maybe he'll just put everyone in Heaven anyway.

And so, for another five or so years, that was what I believed. During that time I learned about the concept of "cognitive dissonance." Cognitive dissonance is my favourite word, because, when you understand what it means, you understand why you think the way you do, and there is hope that you might realize the difference between what you know, and the truth. If you've never heard of "coginitve dissonance", look it up now.

When I got married, my wife and I decided to leave our churches and switch to a church which taught something inbetween what our two individual churches were teaching. It was then that I realized that the first thing I needed to do was speak to the preacher about my Hell theory. The preacher pointed out something that was quite obvious, but, due to cognitive dissonance, I had never allowed myself to think... "If you don't believe in Hell, then you believe that Jesus isn't saving you from anything, which basically means that you don't believe Jesus is your saviour, and you're not a Christian."

During the next few years I continued to find many more problems with the bible. It was as if my eyes were opened and I was suddenly able to see all the contradictions and ridiculousness that I'd never seen before. I didn't keep it to myself, because I tried to be open minded about the whole thing, and asked some of the most devout Christians that I knew to explain the things I had problems understanding. None of them could, and two of them recommended a book, which didn't explain it either. I thought that surely there's a reason they're so devout, but I discovered it was not because of knowledge, but because they believed that even though they didn't understand the bible it was still true. This leads me to wander, why would they think it's true, if they don't even understand it?

Anyway, I made a video with ten of my top problems with the bible and put them as questions on YouTube http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lo6m-FD_Sto

I received many views and many "answers". I put "answers" in quotes because none of them could answer my questions logically. I eventually had to realize that no matter how much I wanted to be a Christian, I simply was not. When I finally accepted this I was at peace... everything in my mind was ordered and logical, and I could finally be honest with myself.

Now, you would think that if it's so difficult for me, someone who has spent thirty years in church, and tried desperately for many years to find answers, to be a Christian, that it would be easy for me to point out the flaws in other people's thinking, but it was not so. No matter what I say to a Christian, they stick to their beliefs.

My biggest problem is that my mom, and both sets of in-laws are devout Christians. Even most of my friends are Christians. When I married my wife I thought I was a Christian, and promised my father-in-law that I would keep taking my wife to church. They all believe that anyone who is not a Christian is going to burn forever in Hell. I cannot let them know that I am not a Christian.

My mom, however, is very persistent, and realizing that my attitude towards the religion has changed, she managed to squeeze the truth out of me. She tells me that she often cries, because I am not a Christian, and no matter how much I try to explain the logic behind my thinking, she won't accept it. She never will be able to overcome her cognitive dissonance.

I want to come out of the closet. I want to tell the world that I am not a Christian. I want to explain why, but I cannot. I don't want to hurt anyone, especially not my wife, who understands that I have problems with the bible, but I don't think she quite gets how much I hate the lies that are found in the bible.

Christians are taught how evil the "world" is, but they really have no idea how loving and good an Athiest can be. I am a big supporter of The Zeitgeist Movement, something I do mostly because I am a good, loving person, but my mother doesn't see it that way... "Jesus said 'There will always be poor people,'" she tells me. She thinks it's pointless that I'm trying to help solve the problem of poverty... all I'm supposed to do is "pray". I am sick and tired of praying to a god that NEVER EVER answers.... EVER!

My friends and family keep posting on Facebook how great and wonderful Jesus is, even though he is the cause of all my family problems, but I cannot say anything. I want to point out the ridiculousness, but I cannot.

I want to explain to my mom how it's actually IMPOSSIBLE for me to be a Christian. I have let go of my closed minded thinking, and entered the world of logic, and I will never go back to the spagetti "logic" of the bible. I cannot make myself believe something if all evidence points to it being untrue.

Hardly anyone I know, knows this blog exists, so this is how I vent. I love this blog... my little connection to reality.